---
title: "Strategy Track Record — Backtested Per-Grade Hit Rates | EasySwing.trading"
description: "Walk-forward backtested hit rates for EasySwing.trading's A+, A, and B+ setup grades. Survivorship and look-ahead caveats disclosed. Screening transparency, not investment advice."
url: https://easyswing.trading/track-record
updated: 2026-05-16
---

# Strategy Track Record — Backtested Per-Grade Hit Rates

**BACKTEST / WALK-FORWARD SIMULATION — Not live returns.**
These figures are from a walk-forward backtest over 2021-05-17 – 2026-05-16.
They are NOT live trading results and do not represent what any user actually earned.

## Caveats (read before interpreting numbers)

**Survivorship bias:** Backtested on currently-listed symbols only. Stocks that delisted, went bankrupt, or were acquired during the test period are excluded — these tend to be losers. Reported hit rates are higher than what a live trader would have observed. Assume the true historical rate is several percentage points lower.

**Entry model / look-ahead:** Entry is simulated at the next trading day's open after the signal fires, not the signal bar's close. The engine sees only data up to and including the current bar — no future data is used. No slippage, commissions, or market impact are modeled.

## Hit Rate Definition

Percentage of backtested trade signals where the first or second price target was reached before the stop was hit, measured over the walk-forward hold window.

## Per-Grade Hit Rates

| Grade | Hit Rate | Sample |
|-------|----------|--------|
| A+ | 38.7% | n = 2,298 |
| A | 39.4% | n = 5,119 |
| B+ | 21.2% | n = 1,322 |
| B | limited data | — |
| C | limited data | — |

*Formula version: `13pt-v1` · Backtest window: 2021-05-17 – 2026-05-16 · Schema: `1.0`*

## Why A ≈ A+ in hit rate

Grade reflects expected R-multiple (reward-to-risk ratio), not raw hit rate. A (39.4%) and A+ (38.7%) are nearly identical in hit rate because both fire on high-confluence setups — A slightly edges A+ in frequency. B+ (21.2%) has a lower hit rate but can still be positive-expectancy at wider R-multiples. Hit rate alone does not determine grade; expectancy (hit rate × avg reward ÷ avg risk) does.

## Methodology

- Full backtesting methodology: https://easyswing.trading/methodology
- Strategy metrics methodology: https://easyswing.trading/methodology/strategy-metrics

## Disclaimer

Backtested results are hypothetical and do not represent actual trading. Past performance, whether actual or simulated, is not indicative of future results. EasySwing.trading is a screening tool — not an investment advisor.

---
*This is the LLM-optimized version. [View the interactive page](https://easyswing.trading/track-record) for the human-friendly version.*